Early in 1939,
Leo Szilard learned from Isidore Rabi that Enrico Fermi had discussed
the possibility of a chain reaction in his public presentation at a
recent conference on theoretical physics. When pressed, Fermi
suggested that only a 10% chance existed for a successful chain reaction
from uranium. To
further complicate the landscape, disagreements arose over whether a
chain reaction was possible with natural uranium (U238) or whether
enriched uranium was necessary (U235). If U235 was required, this
brought up a myriad of other problems and uncertainties about methods of
separation. Also, whether fast or slow neutrons were a factor was
also thrown into the mix.
Another looming controversy concerned the issue of secrecy.
Szilard, Teller and others felt that any further dissemination of
information should be curtailed lest Nazi Germany gain insights into
American scientific breakthroughs. Fermi was dead-set against
secrecy. Niels Bohr insisted that "secrecy must never be
introduced into physics."
Whatever course was chosen, it was becoming obvious that little could or
would be done without direct government support. The nay-sayers
among the scientific community were being heard. With the enormous
"stakes" in the balance, it was not surprising that a little
subterfuge was called for.
The "Hungarian Conspiracy" decided to take action. Leo
Szilard, Edward Teller and Eugene Wigner, perhaps more than anyone,
understood the enormous threat that Nazi Germany posed for the world if
they should happen to be the first to develop a nuclear weapon.
Their first concern was ensuring that when the time came, the United
States would have access to a supply of uranium. At first they
thought of contacting the Belgian government directly about uranium
supplies in the Belgian Congo, afraid that it might fall into German
hands. Szilard remembered that Einstein had a personal
relationship with the Queen of Belgium and might be willing to
intercede. They made their way to Long Island, NY to meet with the
"Master" himself.
Although Einstein eventually followed through, he opted for a more
indirect approach via a letter to the Belgian ambassador.
Accordingly, a draft letter was prepared. At the same time, Wigner
convinced the others that a direct approach should be made to the United
States Government. In July of 1939, Gustav Stolper contacted
Szilard to inform him that he had communicated their concerns to
Alexander Sachs, a noted economist and personal friend of Roosevelt.
Szilard later confirmed that, "Sachs' took the position, and
completely convinced me, that these matters first and foremost concerned
the White House; and that the best thing to do, from the practical point
of view, was to inform Roosevelt. He said that if we gave him a
statement he would make sure that it reached Roosevelt in person."
Drawing on the first Einstein draft, Szilard prepared a second draft
letter to Roosevelt. On Sunday, July 30, 1939, Edward Teller drove
Szilard out to Long Island to again meet with Einstein. After
discussions surrounding Sachs' suitability as the best "middle
man" for the job, they got down to discussing a "final"
draft. Einstein opted for a longer version which incorporated his
shorter statement with additional paragraphs contributed by Szilard in
his consultations with Sachs.
Szilard transmitted the letter in its final form to Sachs on August 15th
along with a memorandum of his own that elaborated on the letter's
discussion of the possibilities and dangers of fission. By the
first week of September, Szilard had heard nothing from Sachs.
Finally, on the last week of September, Szilard and Wigner made a call
on Sachs and found that the economist still held Einstein's
letter. On October 2nd, Szilard informed Einstein that his letter
still had not made its way to Roosevelt "probably due to him being
so overburdened." Szilard, Wigner and Teller began to believe
that they had made a wrong decision concerning Sachs and perhaps they
should move to "Plan B", whatever that might be.
However, Sachs was finally able to get an "audience" with FDR,
and on October 11, 1939, met with the president. As so often
happens with the "best laid plans", Sachs felt disconcerted
about his planned verbal "reading aloud" of Einstein's letter
and opted instead for a 800-word summation that he had drafted
himself. This summation, the first authoritative report to a head
of state of the possibility of using nuclear energy to make a weapon of
war, emphasized power production first, radioactive materials for
medical use second and "bombs of unenvisaged potency and
scope" third. It also recommended making arrangements with
Belgium for uranium supplies. Finally, it proposed to
"designate an individual and a committee to serve as a
liaison" between the scientific community and the
Administration. The following dialogue spelled out the beginning
of the American effort: "Alex," said
Roosevelt, "what you are after is to see that the Nazis don't blow
us up." "Precisely," Sachs said. Roosevelt
called in his aide, General Edwin ("Pa") M. Watson: "Pa!
This requires action!" |